BUF edge · 31.1 points
Unit matchup: BUF 11.9
TEAM PERFORMANCE
Core Power Rank
Forward-looking strength, with the inputs behind each score.
| #1 | SEASeattle Seahawks | 77.4 | 74.6 | 66.1 | 90.6 | 96.8 | 56.3 | 45% |
| #2 | LALos Angeles Rams | 73.4 | 56.9 | 63.2 | 69.1 | 83.9 | 73.8 | 45% |
| #3 | BUFBuffalo Bills | 71.2 | 59.8 | 94.0 | 25.2 | 87.1 | 26.4 | 45% |
| #4 | SFSan Francisco 49ers | 68.0 | 69.7 | 91.9 | 69.0 | 100.0 | 26.8 | 45% |
| #5 | JAXJacksonville Jaguars | 65.9 | 60.6 | 83.9 | 41.1 | 64.5 | 59.3 | 45% |
| #6 | NENew England Patriots | 65.5 | 53.2 | 30.2 | 81.5 | 67.7 | 62.1 | 45% |
| #7 | BALBaltimore Ravens | 65.2 | 56.9 | 86.5 | 46.5 | 93.5 | 66.2 | 45% |
| #8 | KCKansas City Chiefs | 63.8 | 63.7 | 76.8 | 58.7 | 90.3 | 28.6 | 45% |
| #9 | CHIChicago Bears | 62.3 | 55.5 | 70.0 | 43.1 | 71.0 | 60.3 | 45% |
| #10 | DETDetroit Lions | 53.0 | 44.6 | 68.5 | 22.3 | 48.4 | 28.2 | 45% |
| #11 | DENDenver Broncos | 52.3 | 43.6 | 33.1 | 48.8 | 35.5 | 31.8 | 45% |
| #12 | PHIPhiladelphia Eagles | 52.2 | 54.6 | 54.7 | 45.2 | 45.2 | 40.7 | 45% |
| #13 | MINMinnesota Vikings | 51.4 | 58.7 | 31.0 | 75.5 | 61.3 | 21.5 | 45% |
| #14 | GBGreen Bay Packers | 49.8 | 50.8 | 23.9 | 70.0 | 25.8 | 55.2 | 45% |
| #15 | HOUHouston Texans | 49.7 | 42.9 | 33.2 | 49.5 | 38.7 | 83.7 | 45% |
| #16 | CARCarolina Panthers | 49.2 | 56.6 | 78.1 | 52.3 | 77.4 | 40.2 | 45% |
| #17 | CINCincinnati Bengals | 48.8 | 62.6 | 40.2 | 84.5 | 74.2 | 13.1 | 45% |
| #18 | NONew Orleans Saints | 48.0 | 48.5 | 57.1 | 36.6 | 54.8 | 58.7 | 45% |
| #19 | DALDallas Cowboys | 47.1 | 49.4 | 77.4 | 13.2 | 41.9 | 57.5 | 45% |
| #20 | NYJNew York Jets | 45.6 | 64.0 | 51.1 | 80.8 | 80.6 | 57.0 | 45% |
| #21 | TBTampa Bay Buccaneers | 43.8 | 49.4 | 33.5 | 46.6 | 16.1 | 91.4 | 45% |
| #22 | INDIndianapolis Colts | 42.4 | 37.6 | 43.2 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 73.7 | 45% |
| #23 | LVLas Vegas Raiders | 41.3 | 63.6 | 35.6 | 87.1 | 58.1 | 43.4 | 45% |
| #24 | LACLos Angeles Chargers | 40.1 | 29.3 | 13.2 | 45.6 | 3.2 | 69.2 | 45% |
| #25 | PITPittsburgh Steelers | 39.9 | 38.0 | 6.5 | 71.8 | 22.6 | 46.5 | 45% |
| #26 | WASWashington Commanders | 39.5 | 38.7 | 58.6 | 22.3 | 29.0 | 68.6 | 45% |
| #27 | ARIArizona Cardinals | 37.3 | 38.4 | 33.9 | 48.9 | 51.6 | 22.7 | 45% |
| #28 | NYGNew York Giants | 34.6 | 42.7 | 48.4 | 18.4 | 6.5 | 28.6 | 45% |
| #29 | CLECleveland Browns | 34.4 | 40.7 | 38.1 | 28.2 | 19.4 | 27.9 | 45% |
| #30 | ATLAtlanta Falcons | 31.5 | 31.9 | 8.2 | 65.6 | 0.0 | 65.3 | 45% |
| #31 | TENTennessee Titans | 29.2 | 38.9 | 43.1 | 31.6 | 32.3 | 52.7 | 45% |
| #32 | MIAMiami Dolphins | 25.6 | 23.3 | 26.9 | 21.9 | 12.9 | 58.6 | 45% |
Upcoming matchup edges
Week 3 · CPR and unit-level advantages
CAR edge · 14.9 points
Unit matchup: CAR 49.8
DET edge · 7.4 points
Unit matchup: NYJ 28.9
HOU edge · 7.3 points
Unit matchup: HOU 24.7
JAX edge · 0.4 points
Unit matchup: JAX 11.0
KC edge · 38.2 points
Unit matchup: KC 54.8
NYG edge · 5.4 points
Unit matchup: TEN 24.7
CIN edge · 8.9 points
Unit matchup: PIT 31.6
SEA edge · 37.9 points
Unit matchup: SEA 43.9
SF edge · 30.7 points
Unit matchup: SF 35.2
MIN edge · 7.7 points
Unit matchup: TB 15.6
BAL edge · 18.1 points
Unit matchup: BAL 73.2
NO edge · 6.7 points
Unit matchup: NO 1.0
LA edge · 21.1 points
Unit matchup: LA 14.4
CHI edge · 10.1 points
Unit matchup: PHI 11.6
How CPR is built
Regularized early, increasingly current as the season grows
Offense receives a 1.5× emphasis relative to defense because offensive efficiency is more predictive.
Net EPA is adjusted iteratively for opponent strength, with the adjustment gaining influence as schedules grow.
Expected wins, one-score results, fumble recovery balance, and qualified turnover-worthy-play margin identify unsustainable results.
Prior-year strength carries more weight in Weeks 1–4, fades in Weeks 5–8, and reaches zero in Week 9.
Availability remains neutral when a reliable team-level injury input is not published. Turnover-worthy-play coverage qualifies for the regression layer.































