2026 SEASON · WEEK 3
FANTASY TOOLS
Core Weekly Rankings
Weekly fantasy projections built from production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup context.
Core Weekly Rankings
2026 · Week 4 · QB · PPR
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How Core Weekly Rankings work
Projected points blend recent fantasy production, expected opportunity, CFX, OS, ES, and matchup-adjusted predictive CFI. Prior-season games fill only the recent four-game baseline when current-season history is limited. Floor and ceiling reflect recent scoring variation; context move compares the final rank with the production-only baseline. They are independent CoreFootball Labs projections. A positive context move means matchup and current index signals raised the player above the production-only baseline.
Projected points blend recent fantasy production, expected opportunity, CFX, OS, ES, and matchup-adjusted predictive CFI. Prior-season games fill only the recent four-game baseline when current-season history is limited. Floor and ceiling reflect recent scoring variation; context move compares the final rank with the production-only baseline. They are independent CoreFootball Labs projections. A positive context move means matchup and current index signals raised the player above the production-only baseline.
Core model · Week 4 · PPR
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| player ↕ | team ↕ | rank ↕ | projected points ↓ | floor ↕ | ceiling ↕ | confidence score ↕ | context move ↕ | predictive cfi ↕ | matchup | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | BUF | 1 | 24.4 | 19.7 | 30.7 | Low · 54 | +1 | 82.8 | Home vs LAC | elite opportunity (84.8 OS) · favorable matchup projection (82.8 predictive CFI) |
| Bryce Young | CAR | 2 | 23.8 | 19.1 | 30.1 | Low · 54 | -1 | 78.7 | Away vs CLE | elite opportunity (94.6 OS) · favorable matchup projection (78.7 predictive CFI) |
| Tyler Shough | NO | 3 | 22.4 | 17.7 | 28.7 | Low · 54 | 0 | 63.5 | Home vs LV | elite opportunity (92.9 OS) · strong fantasy profile (77.5 CFX) |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 4 | 21.9 | 17.2 | 28.2 | Low · 54 | +1 | 88.3 | Home vs ARI | strong opportunity (73.2 OS) · favorable matchup projection (88.3 predictive CFI) |
| Jared Goff | DET | 5 | 21.6 | 16.9 | 27.9 | Low · 54 | -1 | 65.2 | Home vs NYJ | elite opportunity (88.4 OS) · strong fantasy profile (82.5 CFX) |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | 6 | 21.4 | 16.7 | 27.7 | Low · 54 | 0 | 62 | Away vs MIA | elite opportunity (82.1 OS) · high efficiency (82.1 ES) |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | 7 | 20.6 | 16 | 27 | Low · 54 | +2 | 81.9 | Home vs BAL | strong opportunity (70.5 OS) · favorable matchup projection (81.9 predictive CFI) |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 8 | 20 | 15.3 | 26.3 | Low · 54 | -1 | 57.4 | Away vs IND | elite opportunity (83 OS) |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | 9 | 19.7 | 15 | 26 | Low · 54 | +2 | 81.2 | Away vs DAL | favorable matchup projection (81.2 predictive CFI) · high efficiency (78.6 ES) |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | 10 | 19.6 | 14.9 | 25.9 | Low · 54 | 0 | 67.4 | Away vs CHI | strong opportunity (65.2 OS) |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | 11 | 18.2 | 13.5 | 24.5 | Low · 54 | -3 | 45.5 | Home vs MIN | strong opportunity (70.5 OS) |
| Jordan Love | GB | 12 | 18.1 | 13.4 | 24.4 | Low · 54 | +1 | 35.2 | Away vs TB | strong opportunity (67.9 OS) · difficult matchup projection (35.2 predictive CFI) |
| Cam Ward | TEN | 13 | 17.6 | 12.9 | 23.9 | Low · 54 | -1 | 52.4 | Away vs NYG | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Matthew Stafford | LA | 14 | 17.3 | 12.6 | 23.6 | Low · 54 | 0 | 47.2 | Away vs DEN | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Joe Burrow | CIN | 15 | 17.1 | 12.4 | 23.4 | Low · 54 | 0 | 42.8 | Away vs PIT | difficult matchup projection (42.8 predictive CFI) |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 16 | 17 | 12.3 | 23.3 | Low · 54 | +2 | 64.5 | Home vs NE | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Kirk Cousins | LV | 17 | 17 | 12.3 | 23.3 | Low · 54 | +2 | 55.2 | Away vs NO | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Geno Smith | NYJ | 18 | 15.8 | 11.1 | 22.1 | Low · 54 | +4 | 67.8 | Away vs DET | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Deshaun Watson | CLE | 19 | 15.7 | 11 | 22 | Low · 54 | +6 | 65.1 | Home vs CAR | high efficiency (92.9 ES) |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 20 | 15.7 | 11 | 22 | Low · 54 | -3 | 29.8 | Home vs CIN | difficult matchup projection (29.8 predictive CFI) |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 21 | 15.3 | 10.7 | 21.7 | Low · 54 | -1 | 47.6 | Away vs SF | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | 22 | 15.3 | 10.6 | 21.6 | Low · 54 | -6 | 34.7 | Away vs BUF | difficult matchup projection (34.7 predictive CFI) |
| Drake Maye | NE | 23 | 14.6 | 9.9 | 20.9 | Low · 54 | -2 | 55.6 | Away vs JAX | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Daniel Jones | IND | 24 | 14.5 | 9.8 | 20.8 | Low · 54 | -1 | 53.9 | Home vs HOU | Balanced production, opportunity, efficiency, and matchup profile |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 25 | 14.2 | 9.6 | 20.6 | Low · 54 | -1 | 44.3 | Home vs LA | difficult matchup projection (44.3 predictive CFI) |
| Malik Willis | MIA | 26 | 14.2 | 9.5 | 20.5 | Low · 54 | 0 | 41.5 | Home vs KC | difficult matchup projection (41.5 predictive CFI) · high efficiency (89.3 ES) |